Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. It's a busy week! He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. Accuracy is not guaranteed. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. June 2, 2016. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Thanks! They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. No products in the cart. So, the usual. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. 3 min read. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. I'm Galen Truk. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. All rights reserved. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. 0:00:00 The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. You can't imitate a worldview. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. david senak now. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. gold rush supreme second chance winners. The crew discusses why some Republican candidates are changing their tune about the legitimacy of the 2020 election depending on the situation. 01:06 PM. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have In the main event, former light In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. A year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. RSS Loading. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. 266, the . They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. Thats Changing. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? ( Businessweek) 2,. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. Rev. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. Preview of Spotify. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic.
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